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Born at the Crest of the Empire

Friday, October 07, 2005

New CBS poll and more!!

I am, generally quite suspicious of opinion polls except over a significant period of time. For instance, a single event can impact an approval poll by ten percent or more. With the general consensus trend among the polls on Bush being downward, we can draw a fair conclusion about the erosion of his support. But this CBS poll just jumped out. Even if you consider significant error, it's still a pretty big margin.

Direction of the Country:

Right direction 26%
Wrong track 69%

(can someone out in the polling universe tell me why it's "direction" and "track" not direction and direction or track and track?)

Bush Approval:

Approve 37%
Disapprove 58%

Terrorism:

Approve 46%

Iraq:

Approve 32%

UPDATE: AP/Ipsos poll story out as one of AP's top ten stories. It focuses on Bush's decline among his "base."

Only 28 percent (total poll)say the country is headed in the right direction while two-thirds, 66 percent, say it is on the wrong track, the poll found.

Those most likely to have lost confidence about the nation's direction over the past year include white evangelicals, down 30 percentage points since November, Republican women, down 28 points, Southerners, down 26 points, and suburban men, down 20 points.

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