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Born at the Crest of the Empire

Sunday, January 06, 2008

Obamamania? (Two new polls at bottom)

Because of the short IA to NH window, I'm pretty dubious of all the polls, but I tend to pay more attention to the local polls in these quadrennial early states.

CNN/WMUR/UNH has now conducted two polls. The first, Jan 4-5, showed a tied race at 33/33. A new CNN/WMUR/UNH conducted Jan 5-6 shows Obama +10, 39/29. (Obama is +6 and Clinton is -4 from just one day before?)

Just one poll, with a relatively small sample. Judge it for what it is.

I'm watching for the next Concord Monitor poll due out Monday. (The last one showed a virtual tie.)

Also, One development on the Republican side. McCain over Romney (32/26,) but notice that Huckabee's crept above Giuliani into 3rd place, and Giuliani is only one point ahead of Ron Paul.

He could well finish 5th.

Later: Another poll USAToday/Gallup shows Obama +13 (Jan 4-6.)

Later Still: Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll, Obama +10.

5 Comments:

  • I really don't get it. I was watching some political roundup yesterday on MSNBC with Tim Russert, David Gregory, Andrea Mitchell, and a guy whose name I can't recall, but it was an hour long wrap up of Iowa and looking into NH.

    Rudy finished with only 3 percent of Iowa, while Ron Paul had nearly three times the votes as Guiliani. Yet Ron Paul's name wasn't even mentioned the entire time while Rudy was still considered a contender.

    Why keep giving Guiliani the airtime when he so clearly is losing steam and not even mention a guy that beat him?

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 6:55 PM  

  • And likewise, Edwards BEATS Clinton (sure, barely) but all the commercial media talks about is Barack v Hillary. Edwards couldn't get a headline if he robbed a bank and shot the sheriff.

    By Blogger -epm, at 7:50 PM  

  • Jeff, I think the reason is that the media can't imagie Paul getting much more than that 10%, while they imagine Giuliani might.

    BUT, I agree with you. Regardless of any opinions he battled for third in IA and is now is fighting for thired in NH.

    By Blogger mikevotes, at 9:09 PM  

  • EPM, You know the reason. Edwards doesn't have the money and infrastructure of the other two going forward.

    Plus, his result in Iowa was mainly because he spent the last four years in and around Iowa preparing for this election.

    By Blogger mikevotes, at 9:44 PM  

  • Oh sure... bring THAT up.

    By Blogger -epm, at 9:49 PM  

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