Current campaign mantra
The prevailing mantra of campaign analysts right now appears to be that Hillary Clinton's "difficulties" are the byproduct of a poorly run campaign. They were so confident they would win by Super Tuesday that they didn't have enough organization in place in the post Feb 5 states. (Examples: WaPo, NYTimes, Time.)
I think this narrative seriously understates the successes of the Obama campaign. It also serves to give Clinton a clean slate restart because now, now they're going to get serious.
This is about the best possible explanation for their candidate. See, it wasn't her fault. It was the campaign. (and how could we expect her to know what's going on in her campaign....)
This is just another way to minimize losses. It's no wonder all the articles pushing this thesis contain supporting quotes from "campaign insiders."
Sorry, I'm just getting tired of all the spin.
I think this narrative seriously understates the successes of the Obama campaign. It also serves to give Clinton a clean slate restart because now, now they're going to get serious.
This is about the best possible explanation for their candidate. See, it wasn't her fault. It was the campaign. (and how could we expect her to know what's going on in her campaign....)
This is just another way to minimize losses. It's no wonder all the articles pushing this thesis contain supporting quotes from "campaign insiders."
Sorry, I'm just getting tired of all the spin.
posted by mikevotes at
8:53 PM
4 Comments:
HRC spin will center on being an underdog but still working her positive poll numbers in OH and TX. MSM love the Clinton-Underdog meme and she knows it will get MSM back on positive news. I guess she is asking for another Freidman unit???
By
Anonymous, at 8:19 AM
Friedman Unit. That's funny.
The danger for her is that pushing those polls may come back to bite her i/as they tighten. Any Obama momentum would feed directly into the "Clinton is finished" narrative.
"Two weeks ago she was up this much, now...."
And, really, those polls are more likely to go down for her than up.
By
mikevotes, at 11:06 AM
The pattern seems to be that Obama rises quickly in the polls in the 5-7 days in the run up to a primary, but never seems to get the ball over the goal line. At least this is the story in states that have been assumed to be in the bag for Hillary.
The drum beat of the opinion makers continues to be "Hillary is losing." The only thing that will shake that is a decisive winning streak on 4 March. Actually, if Hillary pulls off an upset in WI, that would do wonders for her image, and take some wind out of Obama's sails.
The only plus I can see for Obama in the run up to 4 March is that he'll have two weeks (post WI) to make his case rather than the usual one week. Maybe he could actually turn momentum into upsets... get that ball over the line.
I think a 4 March sweep is necessary for Hillary to turn the media away from their current tact of planning the wake. Obama, on the other hand, merely needs to win one of those states (TX?) to be considered the giant slayer. But I think this has been said here already.
By
-epm, at 11:31 AM
If she won Wisconsin it would be big. Even if she does better than expected iit would be something.
And, again, my hunch is that Texas is not going to be that decisive a win. I have a feeling she can do it in Ohio, but I think Texas is going to be hers, but close.
But that's still a long way away.
By
mikevotes, at 4:20 PM
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