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Born at the Crest of the Empire

Wednesday, April 23, 2008

Perceptions going forward as the math creeps back in.

Last night on my TV, the Clinton spin seemed to have won the day with breathless talk of Clinton's new hope, etc.

By this morning, the realities seem to be creeping back in with talk of delegate math, money problems, and the mathematical state of the race.

(From the Pa. Sec State, with 99.07% reporting, the final margin appears to be 8.5%, right at the media set over/under line.

Best guess: Clinton picked up about 12-16 pledged delegates on a lead of 166, and just less than 200,000 votes on a lead over 700,000. Right now, Obama is on track to get most of that back in North Carolina.)

The Obama campaign has an early conference call this morning intended to reinforce the mathematical message.

(And the rumor is that Obama will pick up superdelegates over the next few days.)

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