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Born at the Crest of the Empire

Monday, May 05, 2008

The inevitable math

Take a minute to look at this NYTimes "delegate counter" slide bar. If Obama and Clinton split the remaining pledged delegates, Clinton needs 73% of the remaining supers to win.

Via FirstRead, after tomorrow, there will be only 217 pledged delegates left available. There are 268 undeclared superdelegates.
Here are the basics of what each candidate needs: Assuming he wins half of the delegates tomorrow (93), Obama needs just 38% of ALL remaining delegates to get to the magic number of 2,025. If Clinton wins 94 delegates on Tuesday, she will need 66% of all remaining delegates.

Also, Obama picks up 4 more superdelegates today, three from Maryland, and one from Oklahoma. The superdelegate gap is now only 15.

(And, Two Clinton supers in California publicly wobble.)

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