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Born at the Crest of the Empire

Wednesday, October 29, 2008

"The polls could be wrong" - The dog that didn't bark

Last night, the McCain camp laid out their "the polls are wrong" argument, and something has struck me by its absence. There has been absolutely no response from the Obama campaign.

They feel so secure in where they sit against the polling that they don't feel the need to respond, just sit there and smirk.

(Seriously, their body language tells me that they feel ahead of their expected plan.)

Later: On the other hand, Chuck Todd somewhat endorses the McCain memo. But, Pollster disagrees.

Bottom line: Obama's polling about 50 nationally, McCain is wedged up against his 45 ceiling.

In the states, Obama's lead is strong and confirmed. In all the state polling today, CNN/Time, Q-pac, Rasmussen, AFP-Gfk, Obama still holds significant, steady leads (+8 or more) in NV, Colo, NM, Va, and Pa, more than enough to win the election two ways, but he also leads Oh and Fla and shades NC in all of the polls today.

2 Comments:

  • Over the past week or so, McCain has slipped into that politicians haze of delusional puffery. He simply cannot publicly confess the slimness of his chances. He cannot publicly confess his contempt for Palin.

    Thus he is left with his special math, and his unconvincing, over the top praise ("I'm SO proud of her.") for Palin. It's embarrassing. But what's he gonna do? Admit he's screwed the pooch?

    By Blogger -epm, at 2:30 PM  

  • But I think back to the primaries when Clinton had her math and it was persuasive enough that the Obama camp responded.

    This gap is so big they feel no need.

    And, McCain looks like he's trying to force enthusiasm during the dead moments when he comes on and leaves, while Obama seems like he's constantly trying to suppress a smile.

    By Blogger mikevotes, at 3:58 PM  

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